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Analyst Declares Bitcoin 4-Year Cycle Dead Amid Market Changes
A crypto analyst suggests that Bitcoin's traditional four-year cycle is no longer a reliable predictor for the market. Despite traditional markets flourishing, Bitcoin and major altcoins have struggled to reach previous highs. Key points include:
- The analyst @theunipcs claims the Bitcoin four-year cycle is ineffective in determining the market behavior.
- Factors like monetary policy, Spot ETFs, liquidity flows, macroeconomic factors, and liquidation events are now significant influences.
- Bitcoin and leading altcoins remain roughly 30% below their all-time highs, contrasting with rising asset classes like Silver, Gold, and major US stock indexes.
- Bitcoin recently dropped below $85,000 after peaking above $126,000, with altcoins following a similar pattern.
- Investor sentiment remains negative according to the Fear & Greed Index, indicating a bearish market structure.

The analyst anticipates that the ongoing accumulation trend could soon end, potentially sparking an aggressive rally in the crypto market. However, the timing of this bullish phase remains uncertain.