Arthur Hayes Sells $5.1M HYPE Tokens Amid Future Supply Concerns

Arthur Hayes, co-founder of BitMEX and head of the crypto venture fund Maelstrom, sold his holdings of Hyperliquid's HYPE tokens shortly after predicting a significant potential increase in value.

Key Details

  • Hayes sold 96,628 HYPE tokens for about $5.1 million, securing a profit of approximately $823,000 (19%) within a month.
  • He humorously confirmed the sale on X, mentioning it was to fund a luxury car purchase, which led to criticism from traders who felt he promoted HYPE before selling.
  • Hayes defended his decision by citing concerns from Maelstrom, asserting that significant gains are still possible in the long term.

Supply Concerns

  • Maelstrom highlighted an upcoming large token release: starting November 29, 237.8 million HYPE will vest over two years, introducing nearly $500 million worth of tokens monthly into circulation.
  • This unlock could total $11.9 billion at current prices, with Maelstrom estimating Hyperliquid's buyback program can absorb only 17% of this new supply.
  • The firm expressed concerns about the market's ability to handle this influx and noted the risk of early developers and insiders selling their vested allocations.

Long-term Outlook

  • In a previous blog post, Hayes compared Hyperliquid to a "decentralized Binance," suggesting HYPE could significantly increase in value by 2028, based on factors like a potential $10 trillion stablecoin market.
  • Despite the recent sale, Hayes maintains his long-term optimistic view, describing the upcoming token unlock as a challenge but not a definitive setback.
  • Hyperliquid continues to be a key player in decentralized perpetual futures, with its HYPE token crucial for governance, staking, and fee distribution.