Bitcoin OG Increases Ethereum Position Amid $70 Million Loss

Key Points on Ethereum's Current Market Scenario:

  • Ethereum is under selling pressure amid broader market fear and bearish expectations.
  • Analysts predict a prolonged bear market until 2026, citing Ethereum's position below key structural levels and lacking momentum.
  • Bulls are trying to defend the $2,800 mark, critical for short-term confidence, but market sentiment remains cautious.
  • On-chain data shows divergence as experienced traders like Bitcoin OG increase their Ethereum exposure, adding 12,406 ETH despite bearish trends.
  • The Bitcoin OG holds substantial positions across multiple assets, including 203,341 ETH valued at about $577.5 million, indicating confidence in a potential upside.
  • This trader's wallet has seen significant drawdowns, reflecting market volatility and risk even for seasoned participants.

Technical Analysis Highlights:

  • Ethereum's price action shows a loss of momentum after rejection near the $4,800–$5,000 region, with retracement towards $2,800–$2,900.
  • Currently trading below the 50-week moving average, hovering near the 100-week MA, a historical inflection point for medium-term trends.
  • Volume increase during down weeks suggests active distribution rather than passive consolidation.
  • The $2,800 area serves as a critical demand zone; failure to hold could lead to deeper retracement toward $2,400–$2,500.
  • Ethereum needs to reclaim the 50-week moving average to neutralize downside risk and restore trend confidence.