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Wall Street Bank Citigroup Sees Ether Falling to $4,300 by Year-End
- Citigroup forecasts Ethereum's price to reach $4,300 by the end of the year, down from the current $4,515.
- The bank's predictions range widely, with a bullish scenario at $6,400 and a bearish one at $2,200.
- Network activity is identified as a key driver for Ethereum's value. However, much of the recent growth occurs on layer-2 solutions, where the impact on Ethereum's base layer remains uncertain.
- Citi estimates only 30% of layer-2 activity affects Ethereum's valuation, suggesting current prices may be inflated due to strong inflows and interest in tokenization and stablecoins.
- Exchange-traded fund (ETF) flows have a larger price impact per dollar than Bitcoin but are expected to remain limited due to Ethereum's smaller market cap and lower visibility among new investors.
- Macro factors provide limited support, with equities already near Citigroup's S&P 500 target of 6,600, indicating limited upside potential from risk assets.