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Crypto Market Sinks: $1.5 Billion Leveraged Bets Liquidated
The cryptocurrency market experienced significant losses early Monday, leading to the liquidation of leveraged bets totaling $1.5 billion. This downturn followed a Fed interest-rate cut that was expected to lower the dollar index and boost risk-taking in crypto markets.
- Bitcoin (BTC) fell out of an upward channel established since early September, dropping below horizontal support and the 50-day moving average, signaling potential further declines unless market sentiment shifts.
Derivatives Positioning
- Most top tokens, except BTC and HYPE, saw double-digit declines in futures open interest as overleveraged positions were liquidated.
- Binance-listed USDT futures showed increased open interest for short positions with near-zero funding rates.
- Funding rates for TRX, ADA, LINK, TON, UNI, and 1000SHIB futures are notably negative, indicating bearish sentiment.
- BTC front-month futures on the CME trade at a $100 premium to spot price, with potential for discount indicating selling pressure.
- On Deribit, put premiums relative to calls have increased, reflecting demand for downside protection.
- Sentiment in XRP and SOL options has turned bearish, aligning with BTC and ETH markets.
Token Talk
- Altcoins like PUMP, RAY, CRV, and TIA faced double-digit declines, hitting monthly lows.
- A $1.6 billion liquidation cascade worsened the sell-off, with $500 million from ether (ETH) trading pairs.
- ETH funding rates flipped negative, indicating a shift in sentiment after a rally from July to August highs.
- Crypto majors such as BTC, ETH, and SOL are at support levels; sentiment's bearish turn could lead to a recovery targeting aggressive short positions.
- The average crypto token RSI is 28.4, suggesting oversold conditions that might lead to a relief rally unless ETH and BTC break support levels.