CryptoQuant Founder Reports Bitcoin Capital Inflows Stalled, Sentiment Recovery Delayed

The founder and CEO of CryptoQuant has highlighted a slowdown in Bitcoin's on-chain capital inflows over recent months.

Key Points

  • Bitcoin's "Realized Cap," an on-chain capitalization model, has stalled after 2.5 years of growth, indicating reduced investor sentiment.
  • Realized Cap calculates the total value of Bitcoin by considering the last transaction price of each coin as its cost basis.
  • The CryptoQuant PnL Index, which uses on-chain indicators like MVRV Ratio, NUPL, and STH/LTH SOPR, shows a potential shift in market sentiment. These indicators reflect unrealized profits/losses and investor profit-taking behavior.
  • A chart shows the 365-day moving average (MA) of the Bitcoin PnL Index reaching a high earlier this year, suggesting overvaluation, followed by a decrease.
  • Despite the downturn, the metric remains positive, indicating a bullish phase, though historically, such declines often precede bear markets.
  • No immediate signs of sentiment recovery; the process may take several months.

BTC Price

Bitcoin has rebounded from last week's decline, with its price returning to $89,800.

Bitcoin Price Chart