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Deutsche Bank Predicts Bitcoin to Join Gold as Reserve Asset by 2030
- Deutsche Bank predicts Bitcoin may join gold as a recognized reserve asset within the decade, though gold will likely remain dominant in official holdings.
- The U.S. dollar currently constitutes 57% of global reserves, but diversification is noticeable with China's U.S. Treasury holdings dropping by $57 billion in 2024.
- Bitcoin and gold are seen as complementary hedges against inflation and geopolitical risk due to their scarcity and low correlation with other assets.
- Gold reached a record high of $3,763 on Monday, increasing over 40% year-to-date.
- Bitcoin's volatility is decreasing, with its 30-day volatility hitting historic lows in August, despite record prices above $123,500, signaling a potential shift from speculative behavior.
- Neither Bitcoin nor gold is expected to replace the dollar, as governments aim to preserve monetary sovereignty.
- Bitcoin's adoption might mirror gold’s journey from skepticism to widespread acceptance, influenced by regulation, macroeconomic trends, and time.
- As investors look for alternatives to traditional assets, Bitcoin could transition from a speculative investment to a key component of the global financial system.