Dogecoin Faces Potential Price Drop to 20 Cents Amid Whale Activity Decline

Dogecoin (DOGE) Market Overview

  • Death cross observed between the 50 and 100-day Moving Averages, leading to bearish sentiment.
  • Current valuation: approximately $37.3 billion; 24-hour trading volume: about $1.5 billion.
  • Price consistently below 31 cents, indicating potential for further market corrections.
  • Recent price action suggests a bearish flag formation following long trader liquidations.
  • Potential retest of support around 20 cents, aligned with the 0.618 weekly Fibonacci Retracement.
  • Recent support retest at the 50-weekly Moving Average.

Long-Term Outlook

  • Possible exponential rally towards all-time highs in the upcoming 2024/2025 bull phase.
  • Short-term price may decline by up to 42% towards 14 cents.

Whale Activity Decline

  • 88% drop in whale activity since mid-November 2024, impacting short-term bullish sentiment.
  • Lower demand for meme coins due to recent issues on the Solana (SOL) network.

Fundamental Analysis

  • Dogecoin transitioning to a utility-based asset with increasing institutional interest.
  • Total hashrate stands at about 2.07 PH/s; mining difficulty at around 30.84 M.
  • Community growing to over 6.18 million holders.
  • US SEC acknowledged Grayscale's application for a spot DOGE ETF, with other filings expected soon.