BEARISH 📉 : Ethereum Faces Sustained Pressure as Exchange Supply Tightens

Ethereum Stabilizes Around $2,000 Amid Market Uncertainty

  • The broader crypto market is in a critical consolidation phase, with Ethereum attempting to stabilize around the $2,000 level.
  • Price action remains fragile due to macro uncertainty, liquidity shifts, and persistent selling pressure.
  • The current environment mirrors past transitional periods with weakened market structures before directional moves.

Exchange Dynamics: Bitcoin vs. Ethereum

  • CryptoQuant reports highlight differing exchange-flow dynamics between Bitcoin and Ethereum.
  • Bitcoin deposits on exchanges have increased, reaching levels last seen in 2019. However, much of this is for custody rather than selling.
  • Ethereum's exchange-held supply is at levels similar to mid-2016, indicating a tighter liquid float possibly due to long-term holding, staking, or DeFi use.

Liquidity Shift and Potential Market Impacts

  • Ethereum's low exchange balances suggest potential liquidity shifts, posing questions about sustained supply constraints.
  • The increase in Ethereum’s OTC balances remains modest compared to exchange-held supply.
  • Further tightening of exchange and OTC liquidity could lead to sharper price reactions to demand changes.

Ethereum Exchange Reserve | Source: CryptoQuant

Technical Analysis: Bearish Momentum Persists

  • Ethereum is under pressure after losing key support levels, briefly testing the $2,000 zone.
  • The market structure has deteriorated since late 2025, with ETH below its major moving averages.
  • Volume spikes indicate forced selling, often linked to liquidation cascades.

ETH testing key demand level | Source: ETHUSDT chart on TradingView

  • The $2,000–$2,100 region acts as fragile support; losing it could lead to deeper retracement levels around $1,700 or $1,500.
  • Momentum indicators suggest caution until Ethereum reclaims key moving averages and establishes higher lows.