Solana (SOL) Falls Over 7% to $158.70 Amid FTX Unlocking Concerns

Solana (#SOL) has experienced a significant decline, dropping over 7% in 24 hours to $158.70, its lowest price this year. It has fallen nearly 13% in the past week and 35% in the last month.

Key Points on Solana's Price Decline

  • Market cap stands at $78 billion, with a fully diluted value of $95 billion.
  • Onchain data indicates a slowdown in decentralized exchange (DEX) activity.
  • Weekly DEX volume decreased by 36.7% to $16.6 billion; daily volume is now $1.5 billion.
  • Concerns about an upcoming FTX derivatives exchange unlocking event on March 1 are prevalent, with 11.2 million SOL ($1.77 billion) expected to enter the market.
  • Solana has already lost approximately $10 billion in market cap, with fears that the unlock could lead to further declines.

Future Predictions for Solana

  • VanEck forecasts Solana could reach $520 by the end of the year.
  • More conservative estimates suggest a price range between $280 and $340 by 2025.
  • Some analysts warn of a potential drop to $100 due to negative sentiment linked to memecoin activity on the platform.

Investor Sentiment

  • The derivatives market shows caution among traders, with SOL block trades on Deribit making up 25% of all options last week, totaling $32.39 million.
  • 80% of these trades were put options, indicating risk management strategies among large investors.
  • Potential for recovery exists if buyers engage, but prolonged trading below $160 may increase selling pressure.