U.S. Government Relies on Capital Gains for Tax Revenue

The U.S. stock market plays a crucial role in funding the government, with a significant share of federal tax revenue derived from capital gains, predominantly from wealthy Americans.

  • The top 1% owns about half of U.S. stocks; the top 10% holds over 90%.
  • In 2021, capital gains taxes reached 8.8% of GDP, contributing around 15% to total tax revenue.
  • Stock values have risen faster than wages, GDP, and money supply, exacerbating wealth inequality.
  • The federal government increasingly relies on rising asset values to manage budget deficits.
  • Policymakers aim to sustain asset price growth through low interest rates and quantitative easing.
  • Investment income is taxed at lower rates than labor income, costing an estimated $345 billion annually in lost tax collections.
  • Without substantial tax reform, reliance on stock market performance will grow, putting the federal budget at risk during market downturns.

A major market crash could lead to significant budget shortfalls for the government.