Wirex Whitepaper Forecasts €1 Trillion European Stablecoin Market by 2030

Wirex, a UK-based digital payments provider, released a whitepaper on October 29 predicting that Europe's stablecoin market could reach €1 trillion by the end of the decade. The growth is expected to be driven by euro-denominated tokens compliant with the EU's MiCAR regulation.

  • The current global stablecoin market is dominated by USD-denominated tokens, with EUR-backed tokens valued at less than €350 million.
  • Wirex forecasts a 10-15x growth for MiCAR-compliant euro tokens and advocates for coordinated EU incentives to enhance EUR-backed stablecoins for monetary sovereignty.

Programmable Money and Banking Infrastructure

  • Stablecoins are entering mainstream finance as payment instruments under MiCAR regulations, transitioning from mobile banking to programmable money.
  • Emerging trends include agentic payments, where AI and smart contracts autonomously conduct transactions, similar to Circle’s integration with Coinbase's x402 protocol using [USDC](https://holder.io/coins/usdc/).
  • Stablecoin-native challenger banks may combine non-custodial wallets, on-chain settlement, and card networks across FinTech services.

Wirex Strategy and Industry Context

  • Wirex has its European headquarters in Milan, viewing MiCAR compliance as a competitive edge.
  • The platform has processed over $20 billion in transactions since inception.
  • Other firms like Western Union plan to launch stablecoins, with Circle obtaining an e-money license in France to issue its EURC under MiCAR.
  • ClearBank plans to join Circle’s network to expand EURC access in Europe.

Policy Recommendations

  • The whitepaper suggests harmonizing MiCAR implementation across EU Member States to avoid regulatory fragmentation.
  • Proposals include incentives for merchants to adopt EUR-stablecoins through reduced fees and faster settlements.
  • Further recommendations involve regulatory sandboxes and ensuring interoperability between the digital euro and private stablecoins.

The stablecoin market is expanding beyond traditional firms, as shown by Abu Dhabi’s MGX using a stablecoin for a significant investment in Binance, contributing to notable crypto earnings for entities like the Trump Organization.