Nov 18, 2025
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Model Shows XRP Could Reach $24 Following ETF Launches
A new pricing model by crypto analyst Diana suggests that XRP could reach $7–$24 within 60 days of ETF launches. This prediction is based on inflow pressure and the asset's limited liquid supply.
XRP ETF Inflow Model
- Diana's "XRP ETF Launch Impact Model" explores multiple scenarios with five to twenty ETFs, each seeded with $10 million to $45 million.
- Total potential inflows range from $50 million to $900 million, affecting 0.08% to 1.50% of XRP’s estimated 60-billion-unit liquid supply.
- Projections suggest a thirty-day price range of $3.00 to $15.00, extending to $3.80 to $24.00 in sixty days.
- The highest price estimate occurs when twenty ETFs launch with maximum seed capital and significant early inflows, tightening the available float.
Despite these projections, current market data shows XRP trading near $2.14, reflecting a 13.5% weekly decline. Diana attributes this to typical price weakness during initial ETF rollout phases, anticipating a sharp upward revaluation as institutional allocations develop.
Market Structure Insights
- Diana explains that traders often buy ahead of an ETF launch to anticipate demand, leading to pre-launch speculation-driven rallies.
- Post-launch, early buyers take profits, causing a dip that surprises retail investors.
- Institutional inflows usually occur weeks after launch due to compliance checks and approvals, as seen with Bitcoin's January 2024 ETF rollout.
- Diana believes XRP is experiencing a similar pattern, predicting upward price movement once delayed inflows accumulate.
