BEARISH 📉 : XRP loses 50% value as market momentum weakens

XRP has experienced a significant decline, with its price dropping from nearly $2.80 in October 2025 to about $1.42. This sharp drop was accompanied by extreme momentum indicator readings.

Key Technical Indicators

  • The daily relative strength index (RSI) fell to around 17, marking a 12-year low.
  • Historically, similar RSI lows have led to quick rebounds, although past performance does not guarantee future results.
  • Previous instances of low RSI numbers resulted in bounces of approximately 70% and 65% in short timeframes.

Market Commentary and Predictions

  • Crypto researcher Ripple Bull Winkle suggests a potential 15%-40% bounce following extreme RSI readings.
  • Traders are monitoring for signs of a short squeeze or market corrections.
  • Potential liquidity zones exist above $2.25 and between $4.20-$4.40, which could trigger accelerated movements if hit.

Current Market Position

  • XRP’s pair trades show relative strength, with the XRP/ETH range stable since August 2025 and XRP/BTC recovering after a breakdown.
  • XRP dominance metrics have remained steady around 3.5%–3.6%.

Considerations for Traders

  • Key focus areas include volume, daily closes above resistance levels, and RSI movement out of extreme zones.
  • A break above the $2.25 level could indicate further targets, while failure to sustain a bounce may keep sellers dominant.
  • Risk management is critical, as rebounds after oversold conditions can be rapid but brief.

The current setup presents both opportunities and risks, with traders divided on whether this is a temporary relief bounce or the start of a larger trend reversal.