Analyst Predicts XRP Could Reach $50 by December 2025 if ETFs Approved
XRP's price outlook centers on the SEC's decisions regarding multiple spot ETF applications scheduled for October 2025. Analysts suggest that these outcomes could influence billions in institutional funds entering the token by year-end.
October Decisions Expected
Six issuers have pending S-1 filings, including Bitwise, WisdomTree, and Franklin Templeton. The SEC's recent dismissal of its case against Ripple has led to increased expectations for potential ETF launches.
Projected Demand Surge
Industry forecasts indicate that over $5 billion could enter through spot ETFs in the first month, with total inflows potentially reaching $10–18 billion by late 2025 if approvals occur.
XRP's supply is limited, with around 35 billion tokens locked in escrow and much of the circulating supply controlled by exchanges and large investors. This limited availability means sudden demand could significantly impact prices.
Price Target Insights
Investor Pumpius predicts that if ETFs launch and achieve the higher end of inflow projections, XRP could rise to $50 by December 2025, a 1,680% increase from the current price of $2.80.
This scenario parallels past trends observed with Bitcoin and Ethereum prior to their ETF approvals.
If the SEC approves all spot XRP ETFs by October, the path to $50 by December ’25 isn’t just speculation; it’s based on market structure.
Market Skepticism
Some market participants express skepticism about the feasibility of such rapid growth, citing challenges in scaling from a $168 billion market cap to $3 trillion in over a year.
Implications of Approval
If the SEC approves the ETF filings, this could provide regulated exposure for various institutional investors, testing XRP's liquidity and possibly prompting adjustments from larger holders. Conversely, denied applications could delay bullish expectations.
XRP currently trades at $2.84 as traders assess the likelihood of reaching the $50 target amid upcoming SEC decisions.