XRP Experiences Volatility as Key ETF Decisions Await

XRP is under pressure following an Oct. 10 flash crash, which caused a nearly 40% intraday drop before stabilizing between $2.20 and $2.60. Market analysts suggest upcoming ETF decisions and regulatory milestones could significantly impact XRP's future.

Flash-Crash Fallout: Liquidations, Whale Flows, and Key Support

  • During the Oct. 10 crash, XRP experienced a 40% decline, attributed to leverage washout rather than protocol issues.
  • Heavy deleveraging affected both centralized (CEX) and decentralized (DEX) exchanges.
  • XRP's current pivotal point is the 200-day EMA near $2.62.
  • Bulls require a daily close above $2.80–$3.00 to counteract the downtrend; losing $2.20 could target $1.80 next.
  • Ripple’s RLUSD stablecoin maintained its peg, highlighting XRPL's resilience.

Derivatives Heat Up as XRP ETF Window Nears

  • Futures open interest has decreased, but options activity surged, indicating trader anticipation of volatility.
  • The SEC's accelerated 75-day review period for ETFs may influence risk appetite.
  • Recent legal clarifications affirm XRP isn't a security in secondary markets, potentially increasing institutional participation.

What Would Flip the Trend

  • XRP remains below the 20/50/100-day EMAs with bearish momentum.
  • To reverse the trend, bulls need:
    • Price rise above $2.80–$3.00 with higher spot volume for targets of $3.50–$3.80.
    • Net ETF inflows and stable options skew to confirm dip-buying.
    • Improved macro conditions to support risk-taking.
  • A fall below $2.20 might lead to further declines toward $1.80 or even $0.75 in a severe downturn.

The institutional narrative remains positive, supported by RLUSD stability and growing compliance tools, suggesting potential long-term adoption if regulatory catalysts are aligned.