23.7% of Bitcoin Supply Currently at a Loss, Says Glassnode

On-chain analytics platform Glassnode reports that the Bitcoin supply at a loss has risen to 6.7 million BTC, representing 23.7% of the circulating supply. This is the highest level observed in this cycle.

  • 10.2% of the loss-bearing supply is held by long-term holders and 13.5% by short-term holders.
  • The current loss levels mirror early phases of prior cycles, often preceding more bearish conditions and investor capitulation.
  • Bitcoin prices have dropped to 2024 levels, erasing year-to-date gains, with a dense supply cluster from $93,000 to $120,000 causing overhead sell pressure.
  • Failure to reclaim key thresholds, like the Short-Term Holder Cost Basis at $101,500, suggests potential for further downside.

Glassnode also highlights unstable spot demand in the Bitcoin market:

  • Cumulative Volume Delta (CVD) shows sporadic buy-side activity but lacks sustained accumulation, particularly during price pullbacks.
  • Coinbase's CVD indicates steadier US investor participation, while Binance flows remain inconsistent.
  • Lack of consistent accumulation means Bitcoin's price depends more on derivatives market activity than organic spot demand.

Currently, Bitcoin is trading around $86,800, up in the last 24 hours according to CoinMarketCap.