5 August 2025
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Analyst Alex Krüger Suggests Recent Sell-Off May Mark Crypto Market Bottom
Macro analyst Alex Krüger suggests the recent crypto market sell-off may indicate a tradable low, likening it to last year's August crash. Key points include:
- The current decline is seen as a shakeout rather than a new downtrend.
- This sell-off mirrors macroeconomic factors similar to those preceding the August 2024 crash.
- PCE inflation rose to 2.6% year-over-year, with core PCE at 2.8%, above forecasts.
- Mixed Q2 earnings from major tech companies contributed to a risk-off sentiment.
- Disappointing results from Coinbase added bearish pressure on crypto sentiment.
- Geopolitical tensions, including US nuclear submarine repositioning, heightened market stress.
- Krüger identifies potential bullish developments from the SEC's “Project Crypto,” aimed at modernizing securities rules.
- He anticipates crypto could bottom alongside equities on Monday, viewing this as a continuation of the August pattern.
- Longer-term outlook remains bullish, contingent on macro conditions, with a Bitcoin target of $200,000–$250,000 by mid-2026.
Overall, Krüger emphasizes a cautious approach while remaining optimistic about the fourth quarter, highlighting ongoing economic strength and regulatory improvements.