Analyst Alex Krüger Suggests Recent Sell-Off May Mark Crypto Market Bottom

Macro analyst Alex Krüger suggests the recent crypto market sell-off may indicate a tradable low, likening it to last year's August crash. Key points include:

  • The current decline is seen as a shakeout rather than a new downtrend.
  • This sell-off mirrors macroeconomic factors similar to those preceding the August 2024 crash.
  • PCE inflation rose to 2.6% year-over-year, with core PCE at 2.8%, above forecasts.
  • Mixed Q2 earnings from major tech companies contributed to a risk-off sentiment.
  • Disappointing results from Coinbase added bearish pressure on crypto sentiment.
  • Geopolitical tensions, including US nuclear submarine repositioning, heightened market stress.
  • Krüger identifies potential bullish developments from the SEC's “Project Crypto,” aimed at modernizing securities rules.
  • He anticipates crypto could bottom alongside equities on Monday, viewing this as a continuation of the August pattern.
  • Longer-term outlook remains bullish, contingent on macro conditions, with a Bitcoin target of $200,000–$250,000 by mid-2026.

Overall, Krüger emphasizes a cautious approach while remaining optimistic about the fourth quarter, highlighting ongoing economic strength and regulatory improvements.