BEARISH 📉 : Bitcoin drops 15% in one of largest daily declines

Bitcoin Price Drop Overview

  • Bitcoin experienced a significant drop, losing over 15% or approximately $10,800.
  • The decline affected derivatives, spot venues, and the US Bitcoin ETF market.
  • Implied volatility spiked, trading volumes surged, and momentum indicators suggested forced selling.

Analysis and Reactions

  • Real Vision’s Jamie Coutts noted Bitcoin's implied volatility reached 88.55, nearing previous peaks during crises.
  • Coinbase reported its eighth-largest trading day by USD value, with $3.34 billion traded.
  • RSI level dropped to 15.64, comparable to the March 2020 crash lows.
  • Macro trader Alex Krüger indicated extreme conditions typical near market bottoms.
  • Galaxy’s Alex Thorn highlighted that Bitcoin was among the most oversold, compared to historical events.

Impact on ETFs and Volatility

  • The US Bitcoin ETF market amplified the day's activities, with BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) experiencing record trading volumes.
  • Net short exposures in BTC ETFs approached previous highs as long BTC ETFs held significant positions.
  • Bitcoin implied volatility reached 75%, surpassing gold's volatility and marking a high since the ETF launch.

At press time, BTC recovered from $60,000 to about $64,900, reflecting a 9% gain from the session low.

Bitcoin 30-day RSI history

IBIT just crushed its daily volume record with $10b

Net equivalent short exposure in short BTC ETFs

Bitcoin volatility index

Bitcoin price chart