BEARISH 📉 : Bitcoin faces liquidity issues amid declining stablecoin inflows

Bitcoin is experiencing a decline attributed to liquidity issues rather than technical breakdowns. Key points include:

  • Korean analyst Ki Young Ju highlights the lack of fresh capital inflows, with Bitcoin's Realized Cap flatlining, suggesting no new money entering the market.
  • Sell-offs have been absorbed due to early holders taking profits, bolstered by ETFs and MSTR purchases. However, these inflows have dwindled recently.
  • The potential for a -70% crash depends on whether Strategy (MSTR) significantly changes its holdings strategy.
  • Market uncertainty persists with ongoing selling pressure and no clear bottom in sight, likely leading to sideways consolidation without new buyers.

Stablecoin Liquidity Concerns

  • Contributor Darkfost notes a sharp decline in stablecoin activity, reflecting lower crypto liquidity amid high uncertainty.
  • Since December, stablecoin market capitalization has declined, ending a trend of growth, impacting market risk-taking.
  • The last significant liquidity event was in October, with stablecoin netflows exceeding $9.7 billion, primarily on Binance, fueling Bitcoin's rally to an all-time high.
  • Recent months have seen net outflows of over $4 billion, indicating reduced market exposure.

At the time of reporting, BTC traded at $78,280.