BEARISH 📉 : Bitcoin struggles below moving averages amid selling pressure

Bitcoin remains under pressure, trading below $65,000 as selling pressure and macroeconomic uncertainties persist. Despite occasional rebounds, sustained upward momentum has not been achieved.

StrategyB's Bitcoin Accumulation

  • StrategyB, formerly MicroStrategy, continues to accumulate Bitcoin, aiming at roughly 5% of its total supply.
  • The company, led by CEO Michael Saylor, believes Bitcoin could surpass $1 million in the future.
  • Since inception, StrategyB has executed a significant dollar-cost averaging strategy without selling any BTC.
  • Investment figures: $1.1 billion (2020), $2.57 billion (2021), $276 million (2022), $1.9 billion (2023), $21.9 billion (2024), $22.4 billion (2025), and $4.1 billion (2026).
  • Holding approximately 717,131 BTC, equating to 3.4% of Bitcoin's circulating supply.

Strategy USD Amount Invested | Source: CryptoQuant

Market Implications

  • BTC trades below StrategyB’s realized price near $76,000, highlighting potential institutional influence.
  • Realized price reflects average acquisition cost, not valuation.
  • Market conditions, liquidity, and macroeconomic factors drive price direction.
  • Dollar-cost averaging is a common strategy among institutional holders.

Technical Analysis: Structural Weakness

  • Bitcoin failed to maintain levels above $90,000–$100,000, now trading around mid-$60,000s.
  • Decisive weekly close below 50-week and 100-week moving averages indicates weakness.
  • 200-week moving average near mid-$50,000 serves as key support.
  • Volume expansion suggests distribution rather than low-liquidity drift.
  • For bullish recovery, BTC must reclaim $75,000–$80,000 with strong volume.

BTC testing critical demand level | Source: BTCUSDT chart on TradingView

Overall, Bitcoin's current technical indicators suggest caution, with potential for further consolidation or downside.