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BEARISH 📉 : Shadow banking limits Bitcoin price potential, warns Michael Saylor
Michael Saylor attributes Bitcoin's price constraints not to its long-term prospects but to a bottleneck in the credit market. A significant portion of Bitcoin wealth cannot be financed within traditional banking, pushing it towards "shadow" markets where rehypothecation increases selling pressure.
- Saylor highlights that while derivatives are moving onshore in regulated US markets, banks are slow to accept Bitcoin as collateral, impacting liquidity access for investors.
- He notes that approximately $1.8 trillion of Bitcoin is held by retail and offshore investors who lack traditional banking access.
- The inability to use Bitcoin as loan collateral forces holders into shadow banking systems, limiting upside potential.
- Borrowing from crypto lenders is expensive, with rates significantly higher than traditional spreads.
- Banks offering credit against Bitcoin ETFs are emerging but remain costly and limited compared to conventional lending.
- Saylor criticizes rehypothecation, where collateral is reused multiple times, creating excessive selling pressure.
- He advocates for a regulated, non-rehypothecating credit system for Bitcoin to stabilize prices.
- Saylor concludes that until traditional banks fully integrate Bitcoin financing, its market will be influenced by shadow-credit systems.
At the time of reporting, Bitcoin was priced at $72,236.