Bitcoin Projected to Reach $150K Before Potential Downturn, CEO Warns

Bitcoin Price Update

  • Current price is $118,350 with a potential rise of 11% to $129,690 by September 15, 2025.
  • The Fear & Greed Index is at 64 (Greed), with Bitcoin recording 43% green days in the last month and volatility at 1.65%.

Caution from Canary Capital CEO

  • Steven McClurg suggests only 27% upside remains before a downtrend may start.
  • He estimates a greater than 50% chance Bitcoin could reach the $140–$150k range this year, indicating potential gains of 20% to 30%.

Institutional Support Drives Gains

  • Recent price increases attributed to spot Bitcoin ETF inflows and treasury purchases.
  • Sovereign wealth funds and insurance companies are increasing allocations, but a slowdown in buying could hinder price support.

Macro Economic Concerns

  • McClurg expresses concerns about the economy and US monetary policy timing, advocating for earlier rate cuts.
  • September and October rate cuts expected; current CME gauge indicates a 92% chance of a September cut.
  • Fed actions can impact risk assets, including Bitcoin.

Optimistic Projections

  • Cathie Wood projects Bitcoin could reach $1.5 million by 2030 based on institutional demand.
  • Michael Saylor asserts Bitcoin's value won't drop significantly, suggesting potential for $1 million if it doesn't go to zero.
  • Mike Novogratz indicates midterm targets of $150k and long-term potentials of $500k–$1M, contingent on macro conditions and large buyers.