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Bitcoin Retains Two Key Advantages in Current Market, Says Economist
Kraken's global economist Thomas Perfumo reports that the crypto market is performing better than expected. Key insights include:
- The timing of recent tariffs coincides with a critical period for crypto, nearing 12 months post-Bitcoin halving.
- Evidence suggests crypto may be breaking out of its typical cyclical behavior.
- Investors are hesitant to shift away from Bitcoin, seeking more certainty before investing further.
- Bitcoin is viewed as a reliable store of value and has strong ties to traditional capital flows via ETFs.
- Potential pullbacks in Bitcoin could negatively impact altcoins due to their higher beta.
- Altcoins need a demand catalyst to recover, which is currently absent.
- Perfumo remains cautiously optimistic about Bitcoin ETF flows and does not expect immediate fallout from potential crypto IPO pauses.
- The overall sentiment in the crypto industry appears stable, but future changes are possible.
Investors should proceed with caution amid this uncertain environment.