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Bitcoin May Hit Cycle Top With Potential Drop to $38,000
A market expert predicts that Bitcoin (BTC) may reach a bottom within the next 328 days, with potential prices ranging from $38,000 to $50,000.
Bitcoin Price Predictions
- Bitcoin's current performance lags behind US stock markets and gold.
- The cryptocurrency is trading nearly 20% below its peak of $126,000 reached earlier in October.
- Current consolidation is just above the $100,000 mark amid investor uncertainty and selling pressure.
Analyst Ali Martinez forecasts a bottom around October 2026, suggesting a potential drop of 51% to $50,000 or 63% to $38,000 in a pessimistic scenario. His analysis is based on historical market cycles, noting consistent patterns of 1,064 days between bear market bottoms and bull market peaks.
Market Cycle Observations
- The ongoing cycle started in November 2022 and is approaching 1,082 days, indicating a possible cycle top.
- Martinez suggests the market is entering an "early stages of a post-peak retracement phase."

Currently, Bitcoin trades at $103,320, down 3% in the past 24 hours, according to CoinGecko data.