Bitcoin May Hit Cycle Top With Potential Drop to $38,000

A market expert predicts that Bitcoin (BTC) may reach a bottom within the next 328 days, with potential prices ranging from $38,000 to $50,000.

Bitcoin Price Predictions

  • Bitcoin's current performance lags behind US stock markets and gold.
  • The cryptocurrency is trading nearly 20% below its peak of $126,000 reached earlier in October.
  • Current consolidation is just above the $100,000 mark amid investor uncertainty and selling pressure.

Analyst Ali Martinez forecasts a bottom around October 2026, suggesting a potential drop of 51% to $50,000 or 63% to $38,000 in a pessimistic scenario. His analysis is based on historical market cycles, noting consistent patterns of 1,064 days between bear market bottoms and bull market peaks.

Market Cycle Observations

  • The ongoing cycle started in November 2022 and is approaching 1,082 days, indicating a possible cycle top.
  • Martinez suggests the market is entering an "early stages of a post-peak retracement phase."

Bitcoin

Currently, Bitcoin trades at $103,320, down 3% in the past 24 hours, according to CoinGecko data.