24 October 2025
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Bitcoin Risks Further Decline if $108,500 Support Level Breaks
Glassnode's recent analysis highlights potential risks for Bitcoin based on its Supply Quantiles Cost Basis model.
- The model identifies price levels where specific percentages of BTC supply would be at a loss. Current focus is on the 0.85 quantile, approximately $108,600, where around 15% of BTC is in the red.
- Historically, failing to maintain above this level often leads to deeper corrections. The next critical level is the 0.75 quantile, about $97,500.
- BTC has also fallen below the average cost basis of short-term holders (STHs) at $113,100. STHs are investors who acquired BTC within the last 155 days and are sensitive to market volatility.
- The drop below the STH cost basis could indicate a mid-term bearish phase as these holders might capitulate.
Currently, Bitcoin trades near $109,100, struggling to sustain a recovery.