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Bitcoin Demand Momentum Remains Deep in Negative Territory Despite Price Increase
Bitcoin (BTC) has risen from approximately $85,000 on April 21 to nearly $95,000 today. However, its Demand Momentum remains negative, indicating caution among investors.
Key Points
- 30-day Demand Momentum stands at -483,860 BTC, with a Simple Moving Average near -310,700 BTC.
- Demand Momentum is calculated by subtracting Long-Term Holder Supply from Short-Term Holder Supply, reflecting net active demand.
- Increased short-term holder supply suggests speculation over long-term holding.
- Negative trading conditions may result from profit-taking and global economic uncertainties.
- Long-term holders are acquiring fewer BTC as short-term holders distribute more.
- Past instances of similar Demand Momentum divergences led to sharp price pullbacks in mid-2021 and Q2 2022.
- Reversing the negative trend could signal renewed investor confidence and potential for BTC to reach new all-time highs.
- Other market signals indicate a possible trend reversal, including a sharp rebound in Bitcoin’s Apparent Demand.
- Exchange reserves are declining, with the highest withdrawal volume recorded in two years, potentially leading to a supply squeeze.
- Technical indicators suggest BTC might test its ATH of $108,786; current trading price is $94,773, up 0.3% over the past 24 hours.