Bitcoin Demand Surpasses Supply as Market Anticipates August Slowdown

Bitcoin (BTC) has decreased by 3% in the past 24 hours, now approximately 7% below its all-time high from June 14. Historically, double-digit corrections are common during bull markets, with a maximum drawdown of 30% since January 2023.

Key points include:

  • The CME Bitcoin Futures gap between $114,355 and $115,670 may be significant as prices often return to fill these gaps.
  • MicroStrategy (MSTR) plans to raise $2 billion through the sale of 28 million Stretch (STRC) shares, equating to potential demand for about 21,500 BTC at a price of $115,000.
  • On-chain data indicates demand is outpacing supply, with over 210,000 BTC sold by long-term holders and around 250,000 BTC purchased by short-term holders since early July.
  • Bitcoin has risen about 8% in July, aligning with historical trends where it averages a 7% increase during this month.
  • Ether (ETH) has increased by over 46%, trading near $3,725, marking the third instance of surpassing 40% growth since November, though previous months have seen declines after similar spikes.

Upcoming Events

  • July 28: Launch of Starknet (STRK) v0.14.0 on mainnet.
  • July 31: Webinar on Bitcoin's potential as a global reserve currency.
  • Aug. 1: Helium Network (HNT) halving event.
  • Aug. 1: Hong Kong's Stablecoins Ordinance takes effect.
  • Aug. 15: FTX distribution record date for certain claims.

Market Overview

  • BTC is down 2.39% to $115,912.54.
  • ETH is down 0.41% at $3,721.30.
  • CoinDesk 20 index is down 1.94% at 3,940.10.
  • Open interest for BTC derivatives is at an all-time high of $34.1 billion, with Binance leading at $14.2 billion.

Bitcoin Stats

  • BTC Dominance: 61.46%
  • Hashrate: 914 EH/s
  • CME Futures Open Interest: 147,320 BTC

Token Events

  • Governance votes ongoing for Aavegotchi DAO and Lido DAO.
  • Unlocks scheduled for Jupiter (JUP), Optimism (OP), Sui (SUI), Ethena (ENA), Immutable (IMX), and Aptos (APT).

Investors should monitor market movements closely as liquidity typically decreases in August.