Bitcoin Drops Below Support as Dollar Gains Before Powell Speech

Bitcoin (BTC) dropped below a key support level, impacting the broader crypto market as the US dollar strengthened ahead of Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s speech.

  • Bitcoin fell over 1% to $121,500, moving below the 200-hour simple moving average.
  • Other major tokens like BNB and ETH decreased by more than 3%.
  • The CoinDesk 20 Index declined by 1% to 4,155 points.

This drop followed strong inflows into U.S.-listed spot ETFs, which gained $426 million on Wednesday, continuing a trend of robust inflows over the past week.

  • The dollar index rose to 99.10, its highest since August 1, reducing the appeal of dollar-denominated assets like bitcoin and gold.
  • Gold briefly fell to $4,000 per ounce before rising above $4,030 per ounce.

Fed Chair Powell is set to speak at the Community Bank Conference in Washington, with traders seeking insights on monetary policy amid a U.S. government shutdown that has halted economic data releases such as inflation and jobs figures.

Minutes from the Federal Reserve September meeting highlighted concerns over the shutdown:

  • If the shutdown continues until the FOMC’s October 28-29 meeting, policymakers will lack key economic metrics.

Minutes Showed Caution Over Inflation

  • While there was consensus on rate cuts, there was disagreement on their pace due to inflation concerns.
  • Most participants believed further policy easing would be appropriate this year.
  • A majority emphasized the upside risks to inflation outlooks.
  • Participants voted 11-1 to reduce the federal funds rate by 25 basis points, targeting around 4%.
  • Most expected at least two more rate cuts this year, with seven officials seeing no further reductions.

Discussions covered a weakening labor market and potential reacceleration of inflation. However, the committee agreed that trade tariffs were not a lasting source of inflation.