Bitcoin Drops 34%, Hits Most Bearish Phase in Two Years

Recent data from CryptoQuant indicates Bitcoin is experiencing a bearish phase, with prices dropping significantly and impacting the broader crypto market.

  • Bitcoin fell from above $126,000 on Oct. 6 to $83,790, marking a 34% decline and a loss of approximately $715 billion in market value.
  • The Bull Score Index dropped to 20 out of 100 due to weak spot buying, negative price momentum, and reduced stablecoin liquidity.
  • Bitcoin closed below its 365-day moving average, a key trendline since January 2023.
  • Corporate treasuries have seen market values drop by 70% to over 90%, limiting their ability to support Bitcoin purchases.
  • ETF outflows near $3 billion this month contribute to potential selling pressure.

Technical Levels and Short-Term Signals

  • Glassnode reported the Mayer Multiple nearing the bottom of its range, suggesting potential buyer re-entry.
  • Oversold RSI readings suggest possible short-term recovery, with resistance at $102,600 and support between $90,000-$92,000.
  • Historical rallies during downtrends indicate possible rapid reversals.

Market Shock and Macro Factors

  • A leverage flush-out on October 10 triggered the recent crash, reducing liquidity and intensifying selling pressure.
  • A fault with Athena USDE on Binance caused further automated liquidations.
  • Macro factors like tighter liquidity and political uncertainty added to market stress.
  • Previous catalysts like the 2024 Trump election and corporate treasury buys in 2025 are considered exhausted by CryptoQuant.