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Bitcoin Funding Rates Turn Negative, Indicating Potential Local Price Bottom
Bitcoin (BTC) remains between $90,000 and $100,000, with investor sentiment shifting based on price movements. Key points include:
- Bitcoin hasn't fallen below $90,000 since Nov. 18.
- Investor sentiment turns bullish near $100,000 and bearish near $90,000.
- Price volatility is influenced by derivatives like futures and options.
- The perpetual funding rate indicates market sentiment; positive rates suggest bullish sentiment, while negative rates indicate bearish conditions.
- On Thursday, the funding rate reached -0.001%, the first negative value this year, leading to a leverage flush before BTC rose above $94,000.
- Historical comparison shows more severe negative funding rates during market crises, such as March 2020's peak at -0.309%.
- Persistent positive funding rates reflect ongoing demand, despite occasional negatives occurring at price bottoms.
- Negative funding rates can signal potential market rebounds or sustained bear conditions.
In 2023 and 2024, negative funding rates coincided with significant price increases following market downturns.