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Bitcoin Underperforms Gold Amid Institutional Skepticism, Says Macro Investor
Last week, US equities, Treasurys, and the dollar experienced simultaneous declines, a rare occurrence noted by investor Jordi Visser, who characterized it as "the system officially broke." Despite gold rallying over 4%, Bitcoin's price remained stagnant. Visser attributes this divergence to skepticism from institutional finance.
Key points from Visser's analysis:
- US bonds are down over 5% month-to-date, with equities also dropping more than 5%. The US dollar index saw similar losses.
- Bitcoin is perceived by Wall Street as an equity-like asset rather than a safe haven like gold.
- Institutional holders have not yet embraced Bitcoin as they have with gold, affecting its market performance.
- Bitcoin’s significant moment may come after aggressive monetary stimulus is implemented in response to financial crises.
- The transition towards a decentralized financial system is underway, influenced by geopolitical factors and technological advancements.
- Bitcoin's correlation with global liquidity cycles suggests it will lag behind liquidity expansions, potentially increasing in value four to ten weeks later.
- Institutional investors face constraints that limit their participation in Bitcoin markets compared to retail investors.
- The US appears to be exporting fiscal deficits globally as trade dynamics shift.
- Visser believes Bitcoin remains a relevant emergent asset, waiting for broader acceptance and structural breakout moments.
As of the latest update, Bitcoin is trading at $84,689.
