12 August 2025
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Bitcoin Halving’s Influence Diminishes as Market Dynamics Shift
Experts suggest that Bitcoin's four-year cycle, traditionally linked to halving events, may be losing its influence in the market.
- The halving reduces miner rewards every four years, historically affecting Bitcoin's price significantly.
- Currently, the market is more influenced by institutional investment and economic factors.
- Pierre Rochard noted that the supply shock from halving is less impactful now, as 95% of Bitcoin is already mined.
- Bitcoin's price reached a record above $74,000 in March, influenced by U.S. spot Bitcoin ETF approvals and institutional buying.
- While some believe halvings still matter for miner economics, they are seen as part of broader market dynamics including liquidity and investor sentiment.
- CoinMarketCap reported a combined cryptocurrency market cap of $4.15 trillion, surpassing the previous record of $3.80 trillion.
- Over $140 billion in cryptocurrency was traded within a single day.
- Some analysts caution against dismissing the four-year cycle, noting risks of over-optimism near market peaks.
Overall, while halvings retain relevance, their role in short-term pricing appears diminished as market dynamics evolve.