Bitcoin Hovers Near $103,700 Amid Negative Retail Investor Sentiment

Bitcoin (BTC) is currently priced around $103,700, facing macroeconomic pressures and declining retail investor sentiment. The asset experienced volatility, dropping below $103,400 before a slight recovery, amid geopolitical tensions and uncertain monetary policy.

  • Retail investor sentiment has sharply declined, with the bullish to bearish commentary ratio at 1.03 to 1, the lowest since early April.
  • This pessimism may indicate a contrarian signal for price rebound, as similar conditions previously led to Bitcoin rallies.
  • The Federal Reserve's decision to maintain interest rates has kept Bitcoin within a $100,000 to $110,000 range over the past month.
  • On-chain metrics reveal decreasing open interest on Binance, indicating ongoing deleveraging among derivatives traders.
  • Whale wallets have been accumulating Bitcoin steadily since 2023, suggesting large holders are building positions despite market uncertainty.

Technical Analysis Highlights

  • BTC-USD traded between $106,552.98 and $102,411.01 in a 24-hour period, showing a 3.89% swing.
  • A significant drop occurred between 14:00 and 17:00 UTC, pushing prices below $104,000 with strong resistance near $106,000.
  • Support formed between $103,000 and $103,500, with price consolidating on declining volume.
  • A V-shaped rebound was noted, with BTC rising from $103,363 to $103,618, establishing a local floor near $103,500.
  • Short-term momentum indicators showed mild recovery, but follow-through remained limited.