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Bitcoin Investors Face Crucial Decision as Market Indecision Persists
Bitcoin is currently trading below the $90,000 mark, indicating market indecision and rising caution. The lack of conviction from both buyers and sellers is evident as Bitcoin struggles to maintain key psychological levels.
- On-chain analysis by Darkfost highlights conditions similar to the end of prolonged bear markets, where unrealized profits and losses suggest underlying stress in the market.
- The shift in profit/loss dynamics pressures investors to either hold through volatility or exit under stress.
Decision Point for Bitcoin Investors
- Darkfost's analysis using an adjusted NUPL model incorporates realized capitalizations of Short-Term Holders (STHs) and Long-Term Holders (LTHs), offering a clearer view of market stress.
- Bitcoin is nearing levels that historically force investors to decide between holding or capitulating, impacting liquidity and sentiment.
- If long-term holders withstand pressure, the market may stabilize; otherwise, increased selling could deepen a bear phase.

Bitcoin Consolidates After Sharp Weekly Breakdown
- Bitcoin trades around $89,000 after a 4.8% weekly drop, breaking out of its previous distribution zone.
- The market is caught in a tight range, awaiting confirmation before a significant move.
- BTC remains vulnerable, trading below resistance levels near the low-$100K region.
- A defense of the $88K–$90K range and a push above $92K–$95K may signal recovery; failure increases risk of retracement toward the low-$80K zone.
