4 August 2025
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Bitcoin Investors Show Increased Selling Pressure as Bull Cycle Matures
Bitcoin is currently trading around $114,690 after a decline to the $112,000 zone. Investor concerns about a potential bear market have increased following this drop.
Key points:
- Short-term holders face losses or underwater positions, leading to panic.
- Analyst Axel Adler suggests the broader uptrend remains intact despite typical late-stage bull cycle behavior.
- Long-term holders are still profitable and show no signs of capitulation, providing support for Bitcoin's price structure.
- The Bitcoin Harmonic Mean of NUPL and MVRV indicates a shift in investor behavior as profit-taking increases.
- Adler expects two more significant rallies due to anticipated Federal Reserve rate cuts but warns of potential selling pressure from long-term holders afterward.
- Current resistance level is $115,724; failure to break this could indicate bearish control.
- Volume is low compared to previous rallies, with key support levels at the 100-day SMA ($107,926) and 200-day SMA ($99,345).