Jan 18, 2026
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Bitcoin Faces Potential 11% Drop if Current Uptrend Fails
Market analysts warn of a potential Bitcoin price collapse if the current uptrend fails. Technical analysis suggests a repeat of past bear-market crashes, potentially causing a significant price drop.
Key Points
- Analyst Tyrex indicates that Bitcoin's market structure resembles the April 2022 cycle, where Bitcoin saw a sharp decline post an all-time high.
- In 2022, Bitcoin dropped by 45% from its peak before entering a lengthy consolidation phase.
- The current chart structure mirrors this historical pattern, with Bitcoin recently hitting an ATH over $126,000 followed by consolidation.
- Tyrex warns of a possible fakeout above the $95,000 resistance, predicting a potential 11.04% drop to the $86,000-$84,000 range if the uptrend breaks.
Future Projections
- CryptoXLarge forecasts a new ATH around $240,000 in March, driven by a strong rally starting February 2026.
- April could see a bull trap with unsustained upward momentum.
- A potential flash crash is predicted for May 2026, possibly leading to new lows.
