Bitcoin Price Drops 21.7% from All-Time High Amid Cautious Market

Bitcoin is currently down 21.7% from its all-time high of over $109,000 in January. However, it has rebounded 6.8% in the past week, trading above $85,000 and approaching the psychological mark of $90,000.

Current Market Cycle Insights

  • CryptoQuant analyst Crypto Dan notes a subdued market cycle compared to previous bull runs.
  • The percentage of Bitcoin held short-term (1 week to 1 month) is lower, indicating reduced interest from new entrants.
  • Macro conditions include tight liquidity and high interest rates, slowing capital inflows.
  • Market leadership has shifted from retail traders to institutional investors due to Bitcoin ETF approvals.
  • Price movements are now more measured and cautious, lacking traditional euphoria.

Patience is crucial; understanding the slower structure can yield better outcomes.

On-Chain Metrics Indicate Strength

  • Over 70% of Bitcoin's supply is in profit, historically linked to price stability.
  • This metric tracks BTC with a cost basis below the current market price.
  • An elevated supply-in-profit ratio may support further upward momentum.
  • The next target is to push this metric toward 80%, which could reinforce bullish trends.

If macro conditions improve and ETF inflows continue, Bitcoin may gain strength despite low speculative enthusiasm.