Analyst Predicts Bitcoin Price Could Reach $250,000 to $375,000 by Year-End
Analyst Matthew Mežinskis from Porkopolis Economics suggests Bitcoin's potential price surge could exceed typical models. He identifies a "power trend" indicating possible prices between $250,000 and $375,000 by year-end.
Key Insights on Bitcoin's Potential
- Mežinskis emphasizes that Bitcoin has historically surpassed the 80th percentile during booms, with the 90th percentile representing double the trend.
- The current end-2025 trend value is projected around $125,000, setting key thresholds at approximately $170,000 for the 80th percentile and $250,000 for the 90th.
- A failure to breach $170,000 by early next year would prompt a reassessment of the four-year cycle theory.
- His model relies on historical performance rather than technical analysis, asserting its robustness compared to previous methodologies like stock-to-flow.
- Explosive cycles in 2013 and 2017 reached the 99th percentile, suggesting future peaks may be lower due to increased market maturity.
- Warnings were issued about risks linked to leverage-driven trading; cascading liquidations could occur if market euphoria escalates.
- The immediate test for Bitcoin is to surpass the 80th percentile (~$170,000) to maintain the four-year cycle narrative.
- Current Bitcoin trading price is approximately $110,397.
