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Bitcoin Price Retraces to $110,000 as Analyst Predicts 60 Days Left in Bull Cycle
Bitcoin (BTC) has retraced to $110,000, prompting concerns of a potential bearish cycle. Trader CryptoBirb states Bitcoin is currently 93% into its growth cycle, which spans 1,007 days, and predicts about 60 days remain before a possible peak.
Key Insights
- Analysis indicates the current bullish phase may be nearing its end.
- Historical cycles suggest durations have increased from approximately 350 days to over 1,000 days.
- Current trajectory points to a cycle length of about 1,060 to 1,100 days.
- Previous Halving events led to price peaks around 492 days later, suggesting a target window between October 19 and November 20, 2025.
- Next significant bear market anticipated not until 2026, with past bear markets lasting 364 to 411 days and average losses of around 66%.
- A potential retracement toward $37,000 is possible if historical patterns hold.
- August and September are historically challenging for BTC, while October and November tend to see stronger performance.
- Current support level is around $97,094 and resistance at $117,058.
- Monitoring price movements below $110,000 is critical for determining bearish trends.
- On-chain metrics show healthy mining costs near $97,124 with no immediate capitulation signs.
Overall, mixed sentiment persists, but convergence of cycle analytics, Halving events, and seasonal trends may indicate an upcoming significant market movement in Q4.