Bitcoin Price Surges to $109.5K Amid Soaring Strategic Reserve Odds

The inauguration of Donald Trump has heightened market expectations for pro-crypto policies, particularly the potential establishment of a Bitcoin Strategic Reserve (SBR). Key developments include:

  • Polymarket odds for the SBR initially dropped below 40% but rebounded to over 50% shortly before the inauguration.
  • The price of BTC surged from $102K to $109.5K prior to the event.
  • Options traders are anticipating volatility, with max pain levels at $102K and $103K for January 20 and 21 expiries.
  • Put options show high Open Interest at $96K and $97K, while call options dominate with $85M notional value for January 21.
  • The put/call ratio is 0.58, indicating stronger bullish sentiment in the Options market.
  • 25RR indicator shows positive sentiment at 12.9 volatility, suggesting significant price movements are expected.
  • BTC is nearing resistance levels between $105K and $108K, with potential targets of $112K, $116K, and $120K if bullish momentum continues.
  • Key support levels are identified at $96K and above $100K for potential retracements.