Bitcoin Realized Price Surpasses 200-Week Moving Average for First Time

The Bitcoin Realized Price has exceeded the 200-week moving average (MA) for the first time in the current cycle, indicating potential bullish market behavior.

Key Points

  • The crossover of the Bitcoin Realized Price and 200-week MA signals a shift, with the Realized Price reflecting the average cost basis of BTC holders.
  • A higher Realized Price than the spot price indicates net unrealized profit among investors.
  • The last similar crossover occurred in 2020, coinciding with the start of a bull run.
  • In contrast, the 2017 cycle did not see a crossover before the bull run.
  • Capriole Investments noted that institutional buying comprised 75% of Coinbase volume recently, historically linked to price increases.
  • Bitcoin reached an all-time high over $124,000 but is currently trading at approximately $118,300.

Bitcoin Realized Price & 200-week MA
Bitcoin Coinbase Volume
Bitcoin Price Chart