Bitcoin Stays Within $101K – $111K Range for 40 Days

Bitcoin has been trading within a range of approximately $101K to $111K for 40 days, showing no breakout in either direction. Key points include:

  • Current macro conditions support this range-trading with unclear inflation expectations and mixed signals regarding future interest rates.
  • The stability of Bitcoin may reinforce its store-of-value narrative, indicating independence from other risk assets.
  • Traders express restlessness as thirty-day realized volatility is below 30%, leading to decreased opportunities in trading.
  • The stagnation has negatively impacted the broader crypto market, with the CoinDesk 20 Index trailing Bitcoin by about 5% over the past month.
  • Historically, Bitcoin has experienced similar prolonged ranges, with the current streak nearing the longest recorded at 42 days.

Andy Baehr