0 0
Bitcoin Supply in Profit Nears 90% Threshold Amid Price Surge
Bitcoin's price recently surpassed $94,000, raising speculation of a potential parabolic shift. Key metrics indicate a rising market sentiment:
- The “supply in profit” metric has rebounded above 85%, nearing the crucial 90% threshold historically linked to euphoric market phases.
- As this threshold is approached, it may trigger intense profit-taking, as seen in recent corrections where the supply dipped close to 75%.
- If the supply falls below this level, panic selling could occur, indicating market fragility.
- Whale wallets (holding 1,000 to 10,000 BTC) have increased unrealized profits by 38% to $150 billion since early April. Historically, reaching $200 billion often leads to selling pressure from whales.
- Miners sold over 943 BTC worth approximately $850 million in the last two weeks, reflecting cautious sentiment as Bitcoin approaches the psychological $100,000 mark.
Market Dynamics
Bitcoin's market cap rose by over $130 billion, a 7.5% increase. However, the 30-day Demand Momentum remains negative at -483,860 BTC, indicating waning short-term demand:
- Current dynamics suggest more BTC is being sold than bought, common in late bull cycles or consolidation phases.
- A reversal into positive demand territory is needed for sustained growth; otherwise, resistance may occur without strong buying pressure.
Price Outlook
Currently, BTC trades just below the upper Bollinger Bands. A breakout could lead towards $100,000:
- If BTC fails to maintain above the middle band (20-day SMA), a pullback may follow.
- The RSI stands around 67, indicating approaching overbought conditions, which could prompt a correction if momentum continues upward.