Bitcoin Surges Above $115,000 as Analysts Predict New All-Time Highs

Bitcoin (BTC) has risen from around $108,000 on September 1 to over $115,000, marking a 4% gain in two weeks. On-chain data suggests potential for a new rally towards all-time highs.

Bitcoin's Movement Above Mid-Term Holders' Realized Price

  • Bitcoin's recent price increase surpassed the Realized Price of mid-term holders (3-6 months), which is approximately $114,000.
  • This level often acts as support or resistance, influencing sentiment and sell pressure.
  • A sustained breakout above this level may boost confidence among mid-term holders, possibly leading to further bullish momentum.
  • If BTC fails to maintain above $114K, it could lead to caution and potential corrective moves.

Short-Term Holders' Selling Pressure

  • Short-term holders (STH) are selling at a loss, indicating decreased confidence among speculators sensitive to price changes.
  • The Spent Output Profit Ratio (SOPR) shows STHs have been selling below their breakeven point after four months of profitability.
  • Institutional investors likely supported the recent price rise, as no extreme retail greed was observed.
  • Historically, market tops align with SOPR STH reaching extreme greed, a condition not yet met.

Some analysts warn Bitcoin may be nearing its cycle peak, while others anticipate a temporary slump in September before a Q4 rally. Predictions suggest BTC could hit $150,000 by Christmas. Currently, BTC trades at $115,050, up 0.7% in the last 24 hours.