Bitcoin Traders Focus on Fed’s Interest Rate Dot Plot Ahead of Meeting

The Federal Reserve's Open Market Committee will announce its interest rate decision on Wednesday at 18:00 UTC, followed by a press conference by Chairman Jerome Powell.

Key points include:

  • The Fed is likely to maintain rates at 4.25%-4.50%, despite calls for lower borrowing costs.
  • Traders are focused on the interest rate dot plot, which shows officials' projections for future rates.
  • A hawkish dot plot could pressure cryptocurrencies, particularly bitcoin, which has stalled above $100,000.
  • Expectations for rate cuts in 2025 have decreased from 100 basis points to 50, with geopolitical tensions impacting forecasts.
  • Hawkish policies may increase U.S. debt servicing costs, potentially enhancing the long-term appeal of assets like gold and bitcoin.