Bitcoin Rises 3% Amid U.S. Government Shutdown Concerns

Crypto Market Overview

  • Bitcoin [BTC] rose by roughly 3% to $116,400 amid the U.S. government shutdown.
  • The CoinDesk 20 index increased by 3.5%.
  • Spot crypto ETFs saw over $550 million in net inflows on September 30, with bitcoin ETFs being the majority.
  • The Federal Reserve is expected to cut interest rates, with an 85-95% likelihood of a 25 bps reduction, potentially increasing appetite for cryptocurrencies.
  • Institutional involvement deepened, with BlackRock's iShares Bitcoin Trust surpassing Deribit as the top venue for bitcoin options trading.
  • Swiss digital bank Sygnym launched a BTC Alpha Fund to generate yield without reducing bitcoin exposure.

Market Movements

  • [BTC] is up 1.54%, trading at $116,430.81.
  • [ETH] increased by 2.8%, trading at $4,313.90.
  • Average crypto RSI approaching overbought territory suggests possible consolidation.
  • Altcoins like zcash (ZEC) surged, while ASTER declined by 6.8%.

Derivatives & Technical Analysis

  • BTC futures open interest remains high, indicating sustained trader engagement with positive sentiment.
  • Funding rates are positive, suggesting strong demand for leveraged long positions.

ETFs & Institutional Activity

  • Spot BTC ETFs daily net flow: $429.9 million, total holdings ~ 1.32 million BTC.
  • Spot ETH ETFs daily net flow: $127.5 million, total holdings ~ 6.58 million ETH.

Upcoming Events

  • SEC to decide on 16 spot crypto ETF applications this month.
  • GnosisDAO proposal vote ends on October 1.
  • SUI and EIGEN token unlocks scheduled for October 1.
  • Swam Network (SWM) token launch on major exchanges on October 1.

Other Developments

  • Ripple CTO David Schwartz will step back and join the board, focusing on family and XRP projects.
  • Tether plans to distribute its stablecoin USAT via Rumble’s planned crypto wallet.