Bitcoin Rises 4% Amid Economic Data Suggesting Fed Rate Cut

  • Bitcoin (BTC) rose by 4% over the week, reaching $116,000, driven by economic data suggesting a potential Federal Reserve interest rate cut.
  • The U.S. CPI figures showed higher-than-expected inflation, indicating persistence in price increases. Revisions to job data revealed nearly 1 million fewer jobs created than initially reported, marking a significant revision in history.
  • August's U.S. jobs report indicated only 22,000 new jobs, with unemployment increasing to 4.3%. Initial jobless claims reached their highest level since October 2021.
  • Economic concerns, including inflation and reduced job creation, have led to discussions of "stagflation."
  • Bitcoin's price action remains positive, with higher lows observed since September. Key support levels include the 200-day moving average at $102,083 and the Short-Term Holder Realized Price at $109,668.
  • Bitcoin-linked stocks had mixed performances. Strategy (MSTR) shares were flat, while MARA Holdings (MARA) and XXI (CEP) saw increases of 7% and 4%, respectively. MSTR continues to underperform and tests long-term support levels.
  • The CME's FedWatch tool indicates expectations of a 25 basis-point interest-rate cut in September, with three cuts anticipated by year-end, potentially boosting growth and crypto-linked equities.
  • The U.S. 10-year Treasury briefly dropped below 4%, possibly signaling a shift in risk sentiment toward growth. However, the dollar index (DXY) maintains multiyear support, presenting an inflection point.