Jan 19, 2026
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Bitcoin Enters New Volatility Phase as Options Interest Surpasses Futures
Bitcoin is breaking from its recent tight price range, indicating increased volatility and market activity. This change suggests a shift towards wider daily price ranges and more market participation.
Impact of Volatility Expansion
- Bitcoin has entered a new volatility phase with options open interest surpassing futures. This shift indicates a move from speculative trading to hedging flows and dealer positioning.
- Price behavior is changing, with reactions around major strike levels rather than clean breakouts.
- Consolidation within the weekend range is expected to influence liquidity dynamics in the coming week.
Market Analysis
- Trader Lennaert Snyder suggests watching for BTC to regain the $95,820 high for long trades. A structural break could lead to higher prices.
- The critical downside level is $94,635. Maintaining this level keeps the bullish structure intact; losing it might flip momentum bearish.
Future Projections
- Analyst Alienopstrading focuses on shorts in the $110,000 to $120,000 zone, anticipating a consolidation before a potential 2026 super rally.
- The expected rally depends on confirming a deviation after sweeping lows.
