Bitcoin Drops Below $104K, Crypto Fear Index Hits Extreme Levels

Bitcoin's recent decline caused a significant shift in crypto market sentiment, with prices falling to a 24-hour low of $103,938 from over $109,000. This downturn pushed the Crypto Fear & Greed Index to 21, indicating "Extreme Fear," the lowest since April when it hit 18 due to global tariff concerns.

Market Sentiment

  • The index has fluctuated between calm and alarm following an early October sell-off.
  • Net outflows from Bitcoin-tied ETFs reached nearly $800 million last week.
  • Institutional buying fell below newly mined Bitcoin levels for the first time in seven months.

Price Movements and Influencers

  • Bitcoin briefly recovered above $104,100 but remains volatile.
  • Reduced exchange and wallet activity, along with Federal Reserve rate cut signals, contributed to market uncertainty.
  • The Fed's hint at fewer future cuts took investors by surprise, affecting both stock and crypto markets.

Future Considerations

  • Traders are monitoring ETF flows, on-chain activity, and U.S. policy updates.
  • Continued outflows could increase pressure on the market, while inflows might stabilize it.
  • Some analysts highlight November's historical strong performance for Bitcoin, with average gains over 40% in past years.